**Trader consensus heavily favors a 35°C high in Busan on August 5, reflecting short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting models that cluster daytime maxima near this threshold amid the ongoing regional heatwave.** Persistent high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the Korea Strait, and typical August humidity patterns support strong daytime heating without widespread cloud cover or precipitation that would suppress peaks. Historical climatology for early August shows Busan averages around 29–31°C, yet current conditions align with the upper end of recent observations in southeastern Korea. The 99.6% implied probability indicates tight model agreement on resolution criteria, with minimal dispersion in ensemble runs. A late-afternoon sea breeze strengthening or unexpected convective development could keep readings at or below 34°C, while urban heat-island effects or delayed cloud clearing remain the primary pathways to a higher outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Busan on August 5?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 5?
35°C 99.6%
36°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
$36,040 Vol.
$36,040 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99.6%
36°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
$36,040 Vol.
$36,040 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
$631 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$764 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,882 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$5,832 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$7,052 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$5,231 Vol.
100%
36°C
$5,818 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$3,694 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$3,762 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$710 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$662 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 35°C high in Busan on August 5, reflecting short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting models that cluster daytime maxima near this threshold amid the ongoing regional heatwave.** Persistent high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the Korea Strait, and typical August humidity patterns support strong daytime heating without widespread cloud cover or precipitation that would suppress peaks. Historical climatology for early August shows Busan averages around 29–31°C, yet current conditions align with the upper end of recent observations in southeastern Korea. The 99.6% implied probability indicates tight model agreement on resolution criteria, with minimal dispersion in ensemble runs. A late-afternoon sea breeze strengthening or unexpected convective development could keep readings at or below 34°C, while urban heat-island effects or delayed cloud clearing remain the primary pathways to a higher outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$36,040Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 35°C high in Busan on August 5, reflecting short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting models that cluster daytime maxima near this threshold amid the ongoing regional heatwave.** Persistent high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the Korea Strait, and typical August humidity patterns support strong daytime heating without widespread cloud cover or precipitation that would suppress peaks. Historical climatology for early August shows Busan averages around 29–31°C, yet current conditions align with the upper end of recent observations in southeastern Korea. The 99.6% implied probability indicates tight model agreement on resolution criteria, with minimal dispersion in ensemble runs. A late-afternoon sea breeze strengthening or unexpected convective development could keep readings at or below 34°C, while urban heat-island effects or delayed cloud clearing remain the primary pathways to a higher outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,040Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 35°C high in Busan on August 5, reflecting short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting models that cluster daytime maxima near this threshold amid the ongoing regional heatwave.** Persistent high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the Korea Strait, and typical August humidity patterns support strong daytime heating without widespread cloud cover or precipitation that would suppress peaks. Historical climatology for early August shows Busan averages around 29–31°C, yet current conditions align with the upper end of recent observations in southeastern Korea. The 99.6% implied probability indicates tight model agreement on resolution criteria, with minimal dispersion in ensemble runs. A late-afternoon sea breeze strengthening or unexpected convective development could keep readings at or below 34°C, while urban heat-island effects or delayed cloud clearing remain the primary pathways to a higher outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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