Ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF position mid-teens Celsius as the most probable range for Cape Town’s June 28 maximum, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions dominated by Atlantic high-pressure systems and modest diurnal warming. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability ahead of any approaching cold front, consistent with historical June averages near 16–18 °C and the moderating influence of marine air and Table Mountain orography. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C outcomes because these align with current guidance while accounting for the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution; further South African Weather Service updates or refined ensemble shifts could adjust probabilities if a stronger ridge or frontal passage develops.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 28?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 28?
15°C 44%
16°C 26%
14°C 22%
17°C 3.6%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 28, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
22%
15°C
44%
16°C
26%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 44%
16°C 26%
14°C 22%
17°C 3.6%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 28, 2026
10°C or below
$564 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$346 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$168 Vol.
1%
13°C
$568 Vol.
3%
14°C
$545 Vol.
22%
15°C
$800 Vol.
44%
16°C
$522 Vol.
26%
17°C
$365 Vol.
4%
18°C
$179 Vol.
1%
19°C
$285 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$318 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF position mid-teens Celsius as the most probable range for Cape Town’s June 28 maximum, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions dominated by Atlantic high-pressure systems and modest diurnal warming. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability ahead of any approaching cold front, consistent with historical June averages near 16–18 °C and the moderating influence of marine air and Table Mountain orography. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C outcomes because these align with current guidance while accounting for the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution; further South African Weather Service updates or refined ensemble shifts could adjust probabilities if a stronger ridge or frontal passage develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$4,661Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 28, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF position mid-teens Celsius as the most probable range for Cape Town’s June 28 maximum, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions dominated by Atlantic high-pressure systems and modest diurnal warming. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability ahead of any approaching cold front, consistent with historical June averages near 16–18 °C and the moderating influence of marine air and Table Mountain orography. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C outcomes because these align with current guidance while accounting for the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution; further South African Weather Service updates or refined ensemble shifts could adjust probabilities if a stronger ridge or frontal passage develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,661Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 28, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF position mid-teens Celsius as the most probable range for Cape Town’s June 28 maximum, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions dominated by Atlantic high-pressure systems and modest diurnal warming. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability ahead of any approaching cold front, consistent with historical June averages near 16–18 °C and the moderating influence of marine air and Table Mountain orography. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C outcomes because these align with current guidance while accounting for the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution; further South African Weather Service updates or refined ensemble shifts could adjust probabilities if a stronger ridge or frontal passage develops.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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