Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models show moderate rain and showers expected on June 10, 2026, suppressing daytime highs to the 28–29°C range amid typical early-summer humidity and monsoon influences. This aligns with the market’s strongest implied probability on 29°C, followed by 28°C, as recent model runs indicate cloud cover and precipitation will limit solar heating compared to drier June climatology averages near 31°C. Seasonal guidance notes above-normal temperatures overall for June–August, yet localized convective activity and possible thunderstorm development provide the key near-term cooling mechanism. Updated observations and evening model consensus will determine whether any late-day clearing pushes readings to 30°C or holds them lower.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 10?
29°C 57%
28°C 18%
30°C 14.4%
31°C 3.1%
$170,308 Vol.
$170,308 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
18%
29°C
57%
30°C
22%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 57%
28°C 18%
30°C 14.4%
31°C 3.1%
$170,308 Vol.
$170,308 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
18%
29°C
57%
30°C
22%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models show moderate rain and showers expected on June 10, 2026, suppressing daytime highs to the 28–29°C range amid typical early-summer humidity and monsoon influences. This aligns with the market’s strongest implied probability on 29°C, followed by 28°C, as recent model runs indicate cloud cover and precipitation will limit solar heating compared to drier June climatology averages near 31°C. Seasonal guidance notes above-normal temperatures overall for June–August, yet localized convective activity and possible thunderstorm development provide the key near-term cooling mechanism. Updated observations and evening model consensus will determine whether any late-day clearing pushes readings to 30°C or holds them lower.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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