Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models, including the National Meteorological Center updates, indicate clear to partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 3–4 levels and no precipitation for Jinan on August 31. These conditions support maximum temperatures of 30–32°C under typical late-summer solar heating and low humidity, far exceeding the 26°C threshold and aligning with the 96% market-implied odds for that outcome. Historical August averages near 30°C provide additional context for the consensus. Only a substantial, unforecasted shift—such as rapid advection of cooler air or persistent thick cloud cover—could realistically lower the high below 26°C, though current model agreement makes this improbable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Jinan on August 31?
26°C or higher 96%
25°C 2%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
96%
26°C or higher 96%
25°C 2%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models, including the National Meteorological Center updates, indicate clear to partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 3–4 levels and no precipitation for Jinan on August 31. These conditions support maximum temperatures of 30–32°C under typical late-summer solar heating and low humidity, far exceeding the 26°C threshold and aligning with the 96% market-implied odds for that outcome. Historical August averages near 30°C provide additional context for the consensus. Only a substantial, unforecasted shift—such as rapid advection of cooler air or persistent thick cloud cover—could realistically lower the high below 26°C, though current model agreement makes this improbable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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