Forecast models from meteorological agencies project Moscow's June 29 high near 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies with possible isolated showers and light winds, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes around 22–23°C. These values sit near long-term June averages, with current late-June conditions showing similar daytime peaks and no strong heat advection or blocking patterns expected to drive extremes. Short-range guidance remains stable just 48 hours out, though minor revisions could occur from updated runs assessing cloud cover or precipitation timing that caps or boosts the daily maximum. Traders appear to weigh this consensus heavily, assigning the highest probabilities to the central forecast range while pricing in modest uncertainty from model variability and local urban effects.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on June 29?
23°C or higher 38%
22°C 30%
21°C 20%
20°C 10%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
6%
17°C
6%
18°C
5%
19°C
9%
20°C
10%
21°C
20%
22°C
25%
23°C or higher
38%
23°C or higher 38%
22°C 30%
21°C 20%
20°C 10%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
6%
17°C
6%
18°C
5%
19°C
9%
20°C
10%
21°C
20%
22°C
25%
23°C or higher
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from meteorological agencies project Moscow's June 29 high near 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies with possible isolated showers and light winds, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes around 22–23°C. These values sit near long-term June averages, with current late-June conditions showing similar daytime peaks and no strong heat advection or blocking patterns expected to drive extremes. Short-range guidance remains stable just 48 hours out, though minor revisions could occur from updated runs assessing cloud cover or precipitation timing that caps or boosts the daily maximum. Traders appear to weigh this consensus heavily, assigning the highest probabilities to the central forecast range while pricing in modest uncertainty from model variability and local urban effects.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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