Latest forecast models from European meteorological agencies show maximum temperatures in Munich on June 15 centering on 20–22°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with light winds and limited cloud cover supporting modest daytime warming typical for mid-June. Numerical predictions place the daily high near or slightly above seasonal norms of 21–22°C, explaining the market’s concentration of implied probability on 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Minor model spread and urban heat-island effects versus airport measurements sustain the narrow 1°C window as the dominant resolution range, while cooler or warmer outliers remain low-probability absent an unexpected frontal passage or radiative cooling shift before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Munich on June 15?
22°C 40%
21°C 26%
23°C 13%
20°C 9%
$11,618 Vol.
$11,618 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
26%
22°C
40%
23°C
13%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 40%
21°C 26%
23°C 13%
20°C 9%
$11,618 Vol.
$11,618 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
26%
22°C
40%
23°C
13%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from European meteorological agencies show maximum temperatures in Munich on June 15 centering on 20–22°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with light winds and limited cloud cover supporting modest daytime warming typical for mid-June. Numerical predictions place the daily high near or slightly above seasonal norms of 21–22°C, explaining the market’s concentration of implied probability on 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Minor model spread and urban heat-island effects versus airport measurements sustain the narrow 1°C window as the dominant resolution range, while cooler or warmer outliers remain low-probability absent an unexpected frontal passage or radiative cooling shift before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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