Recent atmospheric cooling following a mid-August heatwave has positioned 23–24°C as the market frontrunners for Paris’s August 19 peak temperature, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting modest ensemble spread in numerical weather models. Post-frontal northwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and lower dew points are limiting daytime heating compared to earlier 33–38°C readings, while typical late-summer solar angles and urban heat-island effects keep values near the August climatological mean of 24–25°C. Traders weigh short-range model runs from ECMWF and GFS showing potential 1–2°C variations tied to timing of any residual instability or boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on August 19?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 19?
23°C 32%
24°C 29%
25°C 16%
22°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 19, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
32%
24°C
29%
25°C
16%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 32%
24°C 29%
25°C 16%
22°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 19, 2026
19°C or below
$54 Vol.
1%
20°C
$109 Vol.
1%
21°C
$289 Vol.
3%
22°C
$473 Vol.
11%
23°C
$489 Vol.
32%
24°C
$334 Vol.
29%
25°C
$394 Vol.
16%
26°C
$209 Vol.
5%
27°C
$203 Vol.
2%
28°C
$587 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$181 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric cooling following a mid-August heatwave has positioned 23–24°C as the market frontrunners for Paris’s August 19 peak temperature, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting modest ensemble spread in numerical weather models. Post-frontal northwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and lower dew points are limiting daytime heating compared to earlier 33–38°C readings, while typical late-summer solar angles and urban heat-island effects keep values near the August climatological mean of 24–25°C. Traders weigh short-range model runs from ECMWF and GFS showing potential 1–2°C variations tied to timing of any residual instability or boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,321Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 19, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric cooling following a mid-August heatwave has positioned 23–24°C as the market frontrunners for Paris’s August 19 peak temperature, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting modest ensemble spread in numerical weather models. Post-frontal northwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and lower dew points are limiting daytime heating compared to earlier 33–38°C readings, while typical late-summer solar angles and urban heat-island effects keep values near the August climatological mean of 24–25°C. Traders weigh short-range model runs from ECMWF and GFS showing potential 1–2°C variations tied to timing of any residual instability or boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,321Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 19, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric cooling following a mid-August heatwave has positioned 23–24°C as the market frontrunners for Paris’s August 19 peak temperature, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting modest ensemble spread in numerical weather models. Post-frontal northwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and lower dew points are limiting daytime heating compared to earlier 33–38°C readings, while typical late-summer solar angles and urban heat-island effects keep values near the August climatological mean of 24–25°C. Traders weigh short-range model runs from ECMWF and GFS showing potential 1–2°C variations tied to timing of any residual instability or boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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