Recent model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 11 maximum between 34–36 °C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsiding air that favors strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Low-level winds remain light, limiting mixing and allowing the urban heat-island effect to amplify readings at official stations. Ensemble spread arises mainly from minor differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a slightly earlier marine layer or isolated convective cell could cap the peak near 34 °C, while continued subsidence and drier air would push it toward 36–37 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 12–18 UTC model cycles most heavily, producing the tight clustering around the 34–36 °C outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on July 11?
36°C 39%
37°C 25%
35°C 19%
38°C 5.8%
$16,904 Vol.
$16,904 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
19%
36°C
39%
37°C
25%
38°C
6%
39°C or higher
3%
36°C 39%
37°C 25%
35°C 19%
38°C 5.8%
$16,904 Vol.
$16,904 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
19%
36°C
39%
37°C
25%
38°C
6%
39°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 11 maximum between 34–36 °C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsiding air that favors strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Low-level winds remain light, limiting mixing and allowing the urban heat-island effect to amplify readings at official stations. Ensemble spread arises mainly from minor differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a slightly earlier marine layer or isolated convective cell could cap the peak near 34 °C, while continued subsidence and drier air would push it toward 36–37 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 12–18 UTC model cycles most heavily, producing the tight clustering around the 34–36 °C outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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