Trader consensus centers on 16–18°C outcomes for São Paulo’s July 13 maximum because short-range ensemble guidance from INMET and global models indicates a cooler winter day under high pressure and reduced insolation, pulling the expected peak below the 21–23°C July climatological average. Recent observations show overnight lows near 10–12°C with limited daytime warming expected amid possible increased cloudiness or a modest cold-air advection pattern. One-degree resolution hinges on afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, with model spread reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 16–18°C brackets. Official station data from Guarulhos will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 13?
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$37,821 Vol.
$37,821 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$37,821 Vol.
$37,821 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 16–18°C outcomes for São Paulo’s July 13 maximum because short-range ensemble guidance from INMET and global models indicates a cooler winter day under high pressure and reduced insolation, pulling the expected peak below the 21–23°C July climatological average. Recent observations show overnight lows near 10–12°C with limited daytime warming expected amid possible increased cloudiness or a modest cold-air advection pattern. One-degree resolution hinges on afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, with model spread reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 16–18°C brackets. Official station data from Guarulhos will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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