Traders assign closely matched probabilities across the 74–79°F bins for Seattle’s July 23 high because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in marine-layer depth and onshore flow strength from the Pacific. National Weather Service model runs indicate a typical late-July pattern dominated by the subtropical high, with afternoon temperatures moderated near the 76°F climatological average by cool marine air and possible afternoon cloud buildup. Small differences in wind direction or timing of any thermal trough passage could shift the peak by 1–3°F, keeping the distribution tight while lowering odds for values outside the 72–81°F window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seattle on July 23?
76-77°F 32%
78-79°F 26%
74-75°F 22%
80-81°F 10%
$11,311 Vol.
$11,311 Vol.
69°F or below
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 32%
78-79°F 26%
74-75°F 22%
80-81°F 10%
$11,311 Vol.
$11,311 Vol.
69°F or below
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign closely matched probabilities across the 74–79°F bins for Seattle’s July 23 high because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in marine-layer depth and onshore flow strength from the Pacific. National Weather Service model runs indicate a typical late-July pattern dominated by the subtropical high, with afternoon temperatures moderated near the 76°F climatological average by cool marine air and possible afternoon cloud buildup. Small differences in wind direction or timing of any thermal trough passage could shift the peak by 1–3°F, keeping the distribution tight while lowering odds for values outside the 72–81°F window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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