Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover, form the main catalyst for trader positioning on Seoul/Incheon’s August 4 maximum temperature. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and extended-range models indicate daytime highs near 34–37°C, with Incheon’s coastal location potentially moderating peaks by 1–2°C relative to inland Seoul. Recent national records above 41°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while ensemble forecasts show limited spread around 35°C before any late-day sea-breeze or isolated convection effects. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities among the closely matched 33–36°C outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 4?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 4?
34°C 30%
35°C 24%
36°C 21%
33°C 19%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 4, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
19%
34°C
30%
35°C
24%
36°C
21%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 30%
35°C 24%
36°C 21%
33°C 19%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 4, 2026
28°C or below
$71 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$54 Vol.
1%
30°C
$100 Vol.
1%
31°C
$103 Vol.
2%
32°C
$3 Vol.
6%
33°C
$61 Vol.
19%
34°C
$48 Vol.
30%
35°C
$18 Vol.
24%
36°C
$172 Vol.
21%
37°C
$25 Vol.
7%
38°C or higher
$7 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover, form the main catalyst for trader positioning on Seoul/Incheon’s August 4 maximum temperature. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and extended-range models indicate daytime highs near 34–37°C, with Incheon’s coastal location potentially moderating peaks by 1–2°C relative to inland Seoul. Recent national records above 41°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while ensemble forecasts show limited spread around 35°C before any late-day sea-breeze or isolated convection effects. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities among the closely matched 33–36°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$662Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover, form the main catalyst for trader positioning on Seoul/Incheon’s August 4 maximum temperature. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and extended-range models indicate daytime highs near 34–37°C, with Incheon’s coastal location potentially moderating peaks by 1–2°C relative to inland Seoul. Recent national records above 41°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while ensemble forecasts show limited spread around 35°C before any late-day sea-breeze or isolated convection effects. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities among the closely matched 33–36°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$662Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover, form the main catalyst for trader positioning on Seoul/Incheon’s August 4 maximum temperature. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and extended-range models indicate daytime highs near 34–37°C, with Incheon’s coastal location potentially moderating peaks by 1–2°C relative to inland Seoul. Recent national records above 41°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while ensemble forecasts show limited spread around 35°C before any late-day sea-breeze or isolated convection effects. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities among the closely matched 33–36°C outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong