Recent short-range forecasts for Shanghai on August 8, 2026, center on daily maxima near 32–34°C amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, possible scattered showers, and moderating cloud cover from regional moisture. This positioning supports the tight 41.5% market-implied odds for both 32°C and 33°C, as ensemble model runs show minor divergences in afternoon heating tied to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, while current steering patterns and lack of strong subsidence favor peaks in the low 30s rather than 34°C or higher. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely refine these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 8?
32°C 42%
33°C 42%
34°C 9%
31°C 8%
$19,780 Vol.
$19,780 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
42%
33°C
42%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 42%
33°C 42%
34°C 9%
31°C 8%
$19,780 Vol.
$19,780 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
42%
33°C
42%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts for Shanghai on August 8, 2026, center on daily maxima near 32–34°C amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, possible scattered showers, and moderating cloud cover from regional moisture. This positioning supports the tight 41.5% market-implied odds for both 32°C and 33°C, as ensemble model runs show minor divergences in afternoon heating tied to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, while current steering patterns and lack of strong subsidence favor peaks in the low 30s rather than 34°C or higher. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely refine these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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