Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts highlight persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Tokyo on June 21, stemming from the ongoing tsuyu rainy season, as the primary driver capping trader-implied highs near 25–26 °C. These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, preventing the stronger afternoon heating typical of clearer early-summer days when maxima often reach 28–30 °C. Seasonal outlooks note above-average temperatures overall, yet short-term model consensus emphasizes variable shower timing and intensity as key uncertainties that could shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. This genuine forecast spread explains the closely matched market probabilities clustered around historical June averages.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 21?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 21?
28°C 38%
27°C 26%
29°C 22%
26°C 9%
BAGO
$16,679 Vol.
BAGO
$16,679 Vol.
Jun 21, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
9%
27°C
26%
28°C
38%
29°C
22%
30°C or higher
5%
28°C 38%
27°C 26%
29°C 22%
26°C 9%
BAGO
$16,679 Vol.
BAGO
$16,679 Vol.
Jun 21, 2026
20°C or below
$1,548 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,541 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,141 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,801 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$940 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,504 Vol.
3%
26°C
$1,023 Vol.
9%
27°C
$1,062 Vol.
26%
28°C
$1,631 Vol.
38%
29°C
$1,035 Vol.
22%
30°C or higher
$1,474 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts highlight persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Tokyo on June 21, stemming from the ongoing tsuyu rainy season, as the primary driver capping trader-implied highs near 25–26 °C. These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, preventing the stronger afternoon heating typical of clearer early-summer days when maxima often reach 28–30 °C. Seasonal outlooks note above-average temperatures overall, yet short-term model consensus emphasizes variable shower timing and intensity as key uncertainties that could shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. This genuine forecast spread explains the closely matched market probabilities clustered around historical June averages.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$16,679Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts highlight persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Tokyo on June 21, stemming from the ongoing tsuyu rainy season, as the primary driver capping trader-implied highs near 25–26 °C. These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, preventing the stronger afternoon heating typical of clearer early-summer days when maxima often reach 28–30 °C. Seasonal outlooks note above-average temperatures overall, yet short-term model consensus emphasizes variable shower timing and intensity as key uncertainties that could shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. This genuine forecast spread explains the closely matched market probabilities clustered around historical June averages.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,679Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts highlight persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Tokyo on June 21, stemming from the ongoing tsuyu rainy season, as the primary driver capping trader-implied highs near 25–26 °C. These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, preventing the stronger afternoon heating typical of clearer early-summer days when maxima often reach 28–30 °C. Seasonal outlooks note above-average temperatures overall, yet short-term model consensus emphasizes variable shower timing and intensity as key uncertainties that could shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. This genuine forecast spread explains the closely matched market probabilities clustered around historical June averages.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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