**Current forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models strongly supports the 91% market-implied probability for a 23°C high in Tokyo on September 26.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and a developing low-pressure system east of the Kanto region—tied to a stationary front—will limit daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms around 22–23°C. This setup aligns with typical late-September conditions under northeast flow and high humidity. A rapid clearing of clouds or stronger southerly advection could allow brief warming toward 24°C, though ensemble guidance shows limited support for such a shift before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateView resolved

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