Recent forecasts from multiple agencies indicate a low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary approaching eastern Japan around September 3, introducing increased cloud cover, southerly flow, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that are expected to moderate daytime heating. This setup supports consensus maximum temperatures near 30–32 °C at Tokyo’s official observation site, with higher humidity and precipitation limiting extremes compared to the preceding dry, sunny period. Ensemble model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of rainfall, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C depending on convective development. Historical early-September baselines near 30 °C provide context, while the market’s tightly clustered probabilities around 28–32 °C mirror this narrow forecast range and typical observational variability under transitional late-summer conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 3?
30°C 34%
31°C 24%
32°C 19%
29°C 18%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
18%
30°C
34%
31°C
24%
32°C
19%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 34%
31°C 24%
32°C 19%
29°C 18%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
18%
30°C
34%
31°C
24%
32°C
19%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple agencies indicate a low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary approaching eastern Japan around September 3, introducing increased cloud cover, southerly flow, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that are expected to moderate daytime heating. This setup supports consensus maximum temperatures near 30–32 °C at Tokyo’s official observation site, with higher humidity and precipitation limiting extremes compared to the preceding dry, sunny period. Ensemble model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of rainfall, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C depending on convective development. Historical early-September baselines near 30 °C provide context, while the market’s tightly clustered probabilities around 28–32 °C mirror this narrow forecast range and typical observational variability under transitional late-summer conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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