Environment Canada’s official forecast calls for a high of 26°C in Toronto on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a 70% chance of showers, keeping surface heating limited compared to clearer conditions. This places the market-implied probabilities tightly between 25°C and 26°C as traders weigh model spread in timing and intensity of any precipitation, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical August climatology for the region shows mean daily maxima near 25°C, with interannual variability driven by steering patterns and lake-breeze effects from Lake Ontario. Updated model runs and real-time observations will resolve the narrow gap before market close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Toronto on August 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 16?
26°C 40%
25°C 34%
27°C 13%
24°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
34%
26°C
40%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 40%
25°C 34%
27°C 13%
24°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$88 Vol.
2%
23°C
$365 Vol.
4%
24°C
$557 Vol.
11%
25°C
$181 Vol.
34%
26°C
$397 Vol.
40%
27°C
$674 Vol.
13%
28°C
$303 Vol.
2%
29°C
$374 Vol.
2%
30°C
$138 Vol.
1%
31°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,170 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s official forecast calls for a high of 26°C in Toronto on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a 70% chance of showers, keeping surface heating limited compared to clearer conditions. This places the market-implied probabilities tightly between 25°C and 26°C as traders weigh model spread in timing and intensity of any precipitation, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical August climatology for the region shows mean daily maxima near 25°C, with interannual variability driven by steering patterns and lake-breeze effects from Lake Ontario. Updated model runs and real-time observations will resolve the narrow gap before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$4,439Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s official forecast calls for a high of 26°C in Toronto on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a 70% chance of showers, keeping surface heating limited compared to clearer conditions. This places the market-implied probabilities tightly between 25°C and 26°C as traders weigh model spread in timing and intensity of any precipitation, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical August climatology for the region shows mean daily maxima near 25°C, with interannual variability driven by steering patterns and lake-breeze effects from Lake Ontario. Updated model runs and real-time observations will resolve the narrow gap before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,439Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada’s official forecast calls for a high of 26°C in Toronto on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a 70% chance of showers, keeping surface heating limited compared to clearer conditions. This places the market-implied probabilities tightly between 25°C and 26°C as traders weigh model spread in timing and intensity of any precipitation, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical August climatology for the region shows mean daily maxima near 25°C, with interannual variability driven by steering patterns and lake-breeze effects from Lake Ontario. Updated model runs and real-time observations will resolve the narrow gap before market close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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