Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and national agencies indicate a sharp cooldown in Warsaw by August 7 following several days of extreme heat exceeding 35°C, driven by a passing frontal boundary that increases cloud cover, reduces solar insolation, and introduces light showers or thundershowers. This atmospheric shift limits daytime heating, anchoring trader consensus near 25–26°C as the most probable peak under current ensemble guidance. Differentiation between these closely matched outcomes stems from minor variations in frontal timing, boundary-layer moisture, and model spread on maximum mixing ratios, which can alter surface temperatures by 1–2°C depending on the exact degree of cloud suppression versus residual warm advection. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide climatological context, yet the recent heatwave underscores how quickly synoptic changes can shift resolution thresholds in this short-range market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 7?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 7?
25°C 34%
26°C 32%
27°C 16%
24°C 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
34%
26°C
32%
27°C
16%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 34%
26°C 32%
27°C 16%
24°C 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
$15 Vol.
2%
23°C
$20 Vol.
4%
24°C
$70 Vol.
13%
25°C
$18 Vol.
34%
26°C
$72 Vol.
32%
27°C
$127 Vol.
16%
28°C
$7 Vol.
3%
29°C
$15 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and national agencies indicate a sharp cooldown in Warsaw by August 7 following several days of extreme heat exceeding 35°C, driven by a passing frontal boundary that increases cloud cover, reduces solar insolation, and introduces light showers or thundershowers. This atmospheric shift limits daytime heating, anchoring trader consensus near 25–26°C as the most probable peak under current ensemble guidance. Differentiation between these closely matched outcomes stems from minor variations in frontal timing, boundary-layer moisture, and model spread on maximum mixing ratios, which can alter surface temperatures by 1–2°C depending on the exact degree of cloud suppression versus residual warm advection. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide climatological context, yet the recent heatwave underscores how quickly synoptic changes can shift resolution thresholds in this short-range market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$345Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and national agencies indicate a sharp cooldown in Warsaw by August 7 following several days of extreme heat exceeding 35°C, driven by a passing frontal boundary that increases cloud cover, reduces solar insolation, and introduces light showers or thundershowers. This atmospheric shift limits daytime heating, anchoring trader consensus near 25–26°C as the most probable peak under current ensemble guidance. Differentiation between these closely matched outcomes stems from minor variations in frontal timing, boundary-layer moisture, and model spread on maximum mixing ratios, which can alter surface temperatures by 1–2°C depending on the exact degree of cloud suppression versus residual warm advection. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide climatological context, yet the recent heatwave underscores how quickly synoptic changes can shift resolution thresholds in this short-range market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$345Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and national agencies indicate a sharp cooldown in Warsaw by August 7 following several days of extreme heat exceeding 35°C, driven by a passing frontal boundary that increases cloud cover, reduces solar insolation, and introduces light showers or thundershowers. This atmospheric shift limits daytime heating, anchoring trader consensus near 25–26°C as the most probable peak under current ensemble guidance. Differentiation between these closely matched outcomes stems from minor variations in frontal timing, boundary-layer moisture, and model spread on maximum mixing ratios, which can alter surface temperatures by 1–2°C depending on the exact degree of cloud suppression versus residual warm advection. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide climatological context, yet the recent heatwave underscores how quickly synoptic changes can shift resolution thresholds in this short-range market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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