Persistent cloud cover and light rain across Zhengzhou on September 20 have suppressed daytime heating, keeping the highest temperature aligned with the 23°C outcome that dominates trader positioning. Official forecasts from multiple models project a maximum near 23–24°C under overcast skies with northerly winds, limiting solar insolation and aligning with seasonal norms for mid-September in the region. Recent observational data showing current readings in the low 20s°C reinforce this range, while the low probabilities assigned to 25°C and above reflect minimal upside potential from the stable, moist air mass. Market-implied odds thus capture the consensus of real-time model runs and surface observations rather than historical averages.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 20?
23°C 84%
24°C 6%
25°C 6%
29°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
84%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
23°C 84%
24°C 6%
25°C 6%
29°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
84%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and light rain across Zhengzhou on September 20 have suppressed daytime heating, keeping the highest temperature aligned with the 23°C outcome that dominates trader positioning. Official forecasts from multiple models project a maximum near 23–24°C under overcast skies with northerly winds, limiting solar insolation and aligning with seasonal norms for mid-September in the region. Recent observational data showing current readings in the low 20s°C reinforce this range, while the low probabilities assigned to 25°C and above reflect minimal upside potential from the stable, moist air mass. Market-implied odds thus capture the consensus of real-time model runs and surface observations rather than historical averages.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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