**In the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League (expanded to 16 teams), the bottom two sides face automatic relegation to the First Division after roughly 24–25 matches played per club.** As of mid-September, Irtysh Pavlodar and Altai Semey sit at the foot of the table on 20 points each, separated from 14th-placed Zhetysu by narrow margins, with Kaisar, Atyrau, and Kyzylzhar also within striking distance of the drop zone. These sides share poor recent form, limited wins, and negative goal differences that compound their vulnerability in the remaining five to six rounds. Mid-table clubs such as Ulytau and Zhenys have steadier results and superior head-to-head records against direct rivals, while the top group (Ordabasy, Kairat, Astana) continues to dominate fixtures. Remaining schedule difficulty, points from catch-up games, and any late momentum shifts among the lower half will determine which two clubs drop.