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icon for Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?
Politika·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?
Politika·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?

Jun 19

Jun 23

Jun 26

Jun 19

Jun 23

Jun 26

TWEET COUNT
0
Natitirang oras
TWEETS
0
Natitirang oras

<5 79%

5-9 5%

15-19 5%

40-44 3.8%

Polymarket
BAGO

<5 79%

5-9 5%

15-19 5%

40-44 3.8%

Polymarket
BAGO

<5

$831 Vol.

79%

5-9

$0 Vol.

5%

10-14

$0 Vol.

4%

15-19

$20 Vol.

5%

20-24

$75 Vol.

3%

25-29

$60 Vol.

3%

30-34

$131 Vol.

3%

35-39

$166 Vol.

2%

40-44

$79 Vol.

4%

45-49

$5 Vol.

1%

50-54

$39 Vol.

3%

55-59

$39 Vol.

2%

60+

$25 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 19, 12:00 PM ET and June 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus strongly favors fewer than five posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei on X during June 19–26, 2026, at 78% implied probability.** This reflects his established pattern of infrequent, burst-style posting tied to major geopolitical developments rather than routine daily updates. Similar markets for early June weeks resolved to sub-five outcomes amid comparable conditions. The current environment features no acute escalations or scheduled high-impact events likely to trigger volume, following earlier 2026 conflict phases and a June 4 statement on national unity after battlefield developments. Official accounts, including those associated with the Supreme Leader's office, typically issue statements on X during crises involving regional security, sanctions, or diplomatic flashpoints, but maintain lower frequency otherwise. Historical precedent shows managed communications and selective timing, limiting baseline activity in stable periods. Traders price the low-volume outcome highest because no catalysts within the resolution window appear poised to drive repeated posts, while higher brackets remain thinly traded due to the narrow historical window for surges. Resolution depends on verifiable activity from verified profiles linked to Khamenei.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 19, 12:00 PM ET and June 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,471
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 26, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 16, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 19, 12:00 PM ET and June 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 19, 12:00 PM ET and June 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus strongly favors fewer than five posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei on X during June 19–26, 2026, at 78% implied probability.** This reflects his established pattern of infrequent, burst-style posting tied to major geopolitical developments rather than routine daily updates. Similar markets for early June weeks resolved to sub-five outcomes amid comparable conditions. The current environment features no acute escalations or scheduled high-impact events likely to trigger volume, following earlier 2026 conflict phases and a June 4 statement on national unity after battlefield developments. Official accounts, including those associated with the Supreme Leader's office, typically issue statements on X during crises involving regional security, sanctions, or diplomatic flashpoints, but maintain lower frequency otherwise. Historical precedent shows managed communications and selective timing, limiting baseline activity in stable periods. Traders price the low-volume outcome highest because no catalysts within the resolution window appear poised to drive repeated posts, while higher brackets remain thinly traded due to the narrow historical window for surges. Resolution depends on verifiable activity from verified profiles linked to Khamenei.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 19, 12:00 PM ET and June 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,471
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 26, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 16, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 19, 12:00 PM ET and June 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 13 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "<5" sa 79%, sinusundan ng "5-9" sa 5%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 79¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 79% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jun 16, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?," i-browse ang 13 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?" ay "<5" sa 79%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 79% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "5-9" sa 5%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.