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Politika·Krakao

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Kraków Mayoral Election Winner
Politika·Krakao

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

Łukasz Gibała 70%

Monika Piątkowska 22%

Łukasz Wantuch 4.0%

Aleksandra Owca 3.9%

Polymarket

$18,304 Vol.

Łukasz Gibała 70%

Monika Piątkowska 22%

Łukasz Wantuch 4.0%

Aleksandra Owca 3.9%

Polymarket

$18,304 Vol.

icon for Łukasz Gibała

Łukasz Gibała

$10,643 Vol.

70%

icon for Monika Piątkowska

Monika Piątkowska

$1,249 Vol.

22%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$361 Vol.

4%

icon for Aleksandra Owca

Aleksandra Owca

$522 Vol.

4%

icon for Jan Hoffman

Jan Hoffman

$318 Vol.

4%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$938 Vol.

4%

icon for Daria Gosek-Popiołek

Daria Gosek-Popiołek

$287 Vol.

2%

icon for Marianna Schreiber

Marianna Schreiber

$428 Vol.

2%

icon for Rafał Sonik

Rafał Sonik

$365 Vol.

1%

icon for Marian Banaś

Marian Banaś

$616 Vol.

1%

icon for Marta Ratuszyńska

Marta Ratuszyńska

$359 Vol.

1%

icon for Michał Drewnicki

Michał Drewnicki

$261 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bartosz Bocheńczak

Bartosz Bocheńczak

$361 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafał Komarewicz

Rafał Komarewicz

$379 Vol.

5%

icon for Sławomir Pietrzyk

Sławomir Pietrzyk

$356 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$436 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michał Klimek

Michał Klimek

$425 Vol.

<1%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral race with strong trader consensus due to his narrow 2024 runoff defeat to the now-recalled incumbent and his established local base through the independent Kraków for Residents committee. The May 2026 recall referendum, which removed Aleksander Miszalski with overwhelming support, created the snap election scheduled for September 27, 2026, boosting Gibała's positioning as the primary challenger to the previous Civic Coalition-aligned administration. Secondary candidates including Monika Piątkowska trail significantly, reflecting limited polling visibility and weaker local organization in the first-round contest. The outcome remains subject to voter turnout, coalition dynamics, and any late shifts in candidate fields before the vote.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$18,304
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral race with strong trader consensus due to his narrow 2024 runoff defeat to the now-recalled incumbent and his established local base through the independent Kraków for Residents committee. The May 2026 recall referendum, which removed Aleksander Miszalski with overwhelming support, created the snap election scheduled for September 27, 2026, boosting Gibała's positioning as the primary challenger to the previous Civic Coalition-aligned administration. Secondary candidates including Monika Piątkowska trail significantly, reflecting limited polling visibility and weaker local organization in the first-round contest. The outcome remains subject to voter turnout, coalition dynamics, and any late shifts in candidate fields before the vote.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$18,304
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 17 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Łukasz Gibała" sa 70%, sinusundan ng "Monika Piątkowska" sa 22%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 70¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 70% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $18.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 6, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner," i-browse ang 17 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" ay "Łukasz Gibała" sa 70%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 70% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Monika Piątkowska" sa 22%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.