The absence of any official announcement or credible reporting on a new pregnancy for Kylie Jenner underpins the market's 77.5% implied probability for "No." Recent media focus has centered on her May 13 podcast appearance discussing past pregnancies with Travis Scott, including complications during her second child, rather than any current expectation. Early May viral rumors involving Timothée Chalamet were quickly identified as fabricated parody posts with no supporting statements from the couple. In the entertainment industry, confirmed pregnancies typically follow visible signs or direct family disclosures, both of which remain absent midway through 2026, leaving traders to weigh the high uncertainty typical of unverified celebrity personal developments.