The congested La Liga table with just two matchdays remaining has created a fierce battle for 17th place, where a handful of points separate survival from relegation. Espanyol sit atop the market at 48% implied probability thanks to their stronger recent form and 42-point tally that leaves them well-positioned to edge into the final safe spot. Elche trails at 36% after a mixed run that includes draws against direct rivals, while Athletic Bilbao, Mallorca, Osasuna, Girona, Rayo Vallecano, Alavés, Valencia, and Levante each hover around 32% amid identical points gaps and identical remaining schedules. Sevilla’s 5% and Real Sociedad’s 0.8% reflect their safer mid-table buffers. Trader consensus prices these probabilities based on current standings, head-to-head results, and the tight margin that has defined the bottom half all season.