Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models show Chengdu's October 16 minimum temperature centered near 18–19°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and light northerly winds that limit radiational cooling overnight while moderating daytime highs to around 23°C. These conditions align with the autumn transition and recent pattern of scattered precipitation keeping lows from falling further. Market-implied odds place the strongest probability on 19–20°C outcomes, reflecting this consensus while acknowledging model uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized variations across the city. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from the current stable setup.