**Trader sentiment clusters on 78-81°F outcomes for Miami's July 28 minimum because official guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to overnight lows in that range under typical subtropical July conditions.** High humidity and frequent scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping much below the long-term normal minimum of 78°F at Miami International Airport. Forecast models show modest spread in cloud cover and wind overnight, which can shift the exact low by a degree or two and explains why adjacent bins like 74-75°F and 82-83°F retain meaningful implied probability. With resolution based on the official station reading, traders are pricing the balance between persistent warm, moist air masses and any brief clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Miami on July 28?
78-79°F 38%
80-81°F 36%
74-75°F 33%
82-83°F 33%
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 38%
80-81°F 36%
74-75°F 33%
82-83°F 33%
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment clusters on 78-81°F outcomes for Miami's July 28 minimum because official guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to overnight lows in that range under typical subtropical July conditions.** High humidity and frequent scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping much below the long-term normal minimum of 78°F at Miami International Airport. Forecast models show modest spread in cloud cover and wind overnight, which can shift the exact low by a degree or two and explains why adjacent bins like 74-75°F and 82-83°F retain meaningful implied probability. With resolution based on the official station reading, traders are pricing the balance between persistent warm, moist air masses and any brief clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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