**Current forecasts for Qingdao on October 17 point to overnight lows near 19–21°C amid widespread rain and strong southeasterly winds of 8–11 m/s.** Persistent warm, moist southerly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system is limiting radiative cooling under overcast skies and high humidity, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to typical mid-October climatology. Model consensus from sources such as WeatherBug, WindBorne, and Chinese meteorological outlooks clusters daily ranges around 15–23°C, with the lowest readings expected during pre-dawn hours. Uncertainty in exact low temperatures arises from variations in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and local wind gusts, which explain the market’s near-even split between sub-16°C and 26°C+ scenarios alongside balanced probabilities for intermediate bins. Updated model runs and official briefings from regional agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.