A cold front has driven southerly flow of cooler maritime air into São Paulo, producing widespread rain, high humidity near 90%, and overcast skies that limit daytime heating while sustaining moderate mixing overnight. Official forecasts from sources including Met Office, Yr.no, and local models converge on a daily minimum near 8–10°C, with some runs showing brief dips to 9°C or 11°C depending on exact timing of heaviest precipitation and wind gusts around 15–20 km/h. This spread in model outputs, combined with the day’s resolution depending on a single official station reading, explains the near-even market-implied odds clustered tightly between 8°C and 13°C while assigning negligible probability to extremes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 6?
12°C 47%
10°C 46%
11°C 46%
9°C 45%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
43%
9°C
45%
10°C
46%
11°C
46%
12°C
47%
13°C
45%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 47%
10°C 46%
11°C 46%
9°C 45%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
43%
9°C
45%
10°C
46%
11°C
46%
12°C
47%
13°C
45%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...A cold front has driven southerly flow of cooler maritime air into São Paulo, producing widespread rain, high humidity near 90%, and overcast skies that limit daytime heating while sustaining moderate mixing overnight. Official forecasts from sources including Met Office, Yr.no, and local models converge on a daily minimum near 8–10°C, with some runs showing brief dips to 9°C or 11°C depending on exact timing of heaviest precipitation and wind gusts around 15–20 km/h. This spread in model outputs, combined with the day’s resolution depending on a single official station reading, explains the near-even market-implied odds clustered tightly between 8°C and 13°C while assigning negligible probability to extremes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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