Latest ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models show Shanghai's July 21 minimum temperature most likely settling near 27–28 °C, reflecting a typical summer nocturnal inversion under subtropical high pressure with light southerly flow and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because current guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models (ECMWF, GFS) converges on minimal day-to-day variability, while urban heat-island effects and recent above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the East China Sea sustain elevated baseline readings. The modest probabilities assigned to 25 °C or lower hinge on any unexpected northerly surge or increased cloud cover that could enhance cooling, whereas warmer outliers remain possible if the ridge strengthens. Updated model runs and official 48-hour forecasts over the next day will be the key catalysts likely to refine these market-implied odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on July 21?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 21?
28°C 39%
27°C 36%
26°C 17%
25°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Jul 21, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
17%
27°C
36%
28°C
39%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 39%
27°C 36%
26°C 17%
25°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Jul 21, 2026
22°C or below
$969 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,053 Vol.
1%
24°C
$154 Vol.
3%
25°C
$129 Vol.
7%
26°C
$241 Vol.
17%
27°C
$260 Vol.
36%
28°C
$246 Vol.
39%
29°C
$95 Vol.
5%
30°C
$86 Vol.
1%
31°C
$279 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models show Shanghai's July 21 minimum temperature most likely settling near 27–28 °C, reflecting a typical summer nocturnal inversion under subtropical high pressure with light southerly flow and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because current guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models (ECMWF, GFS) converges on minimal day-to-day variability, while urban heat-island effects and recent above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the East China Sea sustain elevated baseline readings. The modest probabilities assigned to 25 °C or lower hinge on any unexpected northerly surge or increased cloud cover that could enhance cooling, whereas warmer outliers remain possible if the ridge strengthens. Updated model runs and official 48-hour forecasts over the next day will be the key catalysts likely to refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,684Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models show Shanghai's July 21 minimum temperature most likely settling near 27–28 °C, reflecting a typical summer nocturnal inversion under subtropical high pressure with light southerly flow and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because current guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models (ECMWF, GFS) converges on minimal day-to-day variability, while urban heat-island effects and recent above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the East China Sea sustain elevated baseline readings. The modest probabilities assigned to 25 °C or lower hinge on any unexpected northerly surge or increased cloud cover that could enhance cooling, whereas warmer outliers remain possible if the ridge strengthens. Updated model runs and official 48-hour forecasts over the next day will be the key catalysts likely to refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,684Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models show Shanghai's July 21 minimum temperature most likely settling near 27–28 °C, reflecting a typical summer nocturnal inversion under subtropical high pressure with light southerly flow and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because current guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models (ECMWF, GFS) converges on minimal day-to-day variability, while urban heat-island effects and recent above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the East China Sea sustain elevated baseline readings. The modest probabilities assigned to 25 °C or lower hinge on any unexpected northerly surge or increased cloud cover that could enhance cooling, whereas warmer outliers remain possible if the ridge strengthens. Updated model runs and official 48-hour forecasts over the next day will be the key catalysts likely to refine these market-implied odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong