Current ensemble forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai will see persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and heavy rainfall on September 3, suppressing daytime heating while limiting nighttime radiative cooling and producing a daily minimum clustered in the mid-20s °C. Trader probabilities reflect this consensus, with 25–26 °C outcomes holding the narrowest edges amid model spread on exact rain timing and wind strength; higher outcomes (29 °C+) price residual warm-air advection scenarios, while sub-24 °C tails capture potential for stronger cooling under prolonged overcast conditions. Historical early-September baselines near 24–26 °C provide context, but the immediate driver remains the latest short-range guidance showing elevated precipitation and humidity that favor the tighter 25–26 °C range. Updated model runs and official CMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
26°C 50%
29°C 29%
32°C or higher 29%
27°C 22%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
15%
23°C
10%
24°C
12%
25°C
19%
26°C
34%
27°C
22%
28°C
15%
29°C
29%
30°C
20%
31°C
20%
32°C or higher
29%
26°C 50%
29°C 29%
32°C or higher 29%
27°C 22%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
15%
23°C
$20 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$6 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C
$5 Vol.
29%
30°C
$5 Vol.
20%
31°C
$5 Vol.
20%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai will see persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and heavy rainfall on September 3, suppressing daytime heating while limiting nighttime radiative cooling and producing a daily minimum clustered in the mid-20s °C. Trader probabilities reflect this consensus, with 25–26 °C outcomes holding the narrowest edges amid model spread on exact rain timing and wind strength; higher outcomes (29 °C+) price residual warm-air advection scenarios, while sub-24 °C tails capture potential for stronger cooling under prolonged overcast conditions. Historical early-September baselines near 24–26 °C provide context, but the immediate driver remains the latest short-range guidance showing elevated precipitation and humidity that favor the tighter 25–26 °C range. Updated model runs and official CMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$51Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai will see persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and heavy rainfall on September 3, suppressing daytime heating while limiting nighttime radiative cooling and producing a daily minimum clustered in the mid-20s °C. Trader probabilities reflect this consensus, with 25–26 °C outcomes holding the narrowest edges amid model spread on exact rain timing and wind strength; higher outcomes (29 °C+) price residual warm-air advection scenarios, while sub-24 °C tails capture potential for stronger cooling under prolonged overcast conditions. Historical early-September baselines near 24–26 °C provide context, but the immediate driver remains the latest short-range guidance showing elevated precipitation and humidity that favor the tighter 25–26 °C range. Updated model runs and official CMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai will see persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and heavy rainfall on September 3, suppressing daytime heating while limiting nighttime radiative cooling and producing a daily minimum clustered in the mid-20s °C. Trader probabilities reflect this consensus, with 25–26 °C outcomes holding the narrowest edges amid model spread on exact rain timing and wind strength; higher outcomes (29 °C+) price residual warm-air advection scenarios, while sub-24 °C tails capture potential for stronger cooling under prolonged overcast conditions. Historical early-September baselines near 24–26 °C provide context, but the immediate driver remains the latest short-range guidance showing elevated precipitation and humidity that favor the tighter 25–26 °C range. Updated model runs and official CMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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