Michigan’s open gubernatorial race, created by term limits barring incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer from a third term, features Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson facing Republican nominee John James after both won their August 4 primaries by wide margins. Recent polling averages show Benson ahead by roughly six points, reflecting her strong name recognition as secretary of state and consolidated support following independent Mike Duggan’s May withdrawal. These factors have produced trader consensus reflected in the current 84% implied probability for a Democratic victory, though the outcome remains sensitive to turnout patterns and any late shifts in swing-state voter preferences before November 3.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDemocrat 84%
Republican 15%
Independent 1.4%
$196,589 Vol.
$196,589 Vol.

Democrat
84%

Republican
15%

Independent
1%
Democrat 84%
Republican 15%
Independent 1.4%
$196,589 Vol.
$196,589 Vol.

Democrat
84%

Republican
15%

Independent
1%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan’s open gubernatorial race, created by term limits barring incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer from a third term, features Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson facing Republican nominee John James after both won their August 4 primaries by wide margins. Recent polling averages show Benson ahead by roughly six points, reflecting her strong name recognition as secretary of state and consolidated support following independent Mike Duggan’s May withdrawal. These factors have produced trader consensus reflected in the current 84% implied probability for a Democratic victory, though the outcome remains sensitive to turnout patterns and any late shifts in swing-state voter preferences before November 3.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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