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icon for MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs

MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs

icon for MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs

MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs

$53,385 Vol.

Oct 11, 2026
Polymarket

$53,385 Vol.

Polymarket

Junior Caminero

$517 Vol.

5%

Hunter Goodman

$3,997 Vol.

3%

Matt Olson

$1,234 Vol.

2%

Ben Rice

$641 Vol.

1%

Yordan Alvarez

$2,023 Vol.

1%

Pete Alonso

$1,727 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Judge

$1,089 Vol.

<1%

Shohei Ohtani

$740 Vol.

<1%

Byron Buxton

$4,326 Vol.

<1%

James Wood

$1,431 Vol.

<1%

Colson Montgomery

$2,904 Vol.

<1%

Bryce Harper

$1,474 Vol.

<1%

Shea Langeliers

$935 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Lowe

$3,526 Vol.

<1%

Munetaka Murakami

$1,062 Vol.

<1%

Nick Kurtz

$1,330 Vol.

<1%

Dillon Dingler

$2,572 Vol.

<1%

CJ Abrams

$1,775 Vol.

<1%

Christian Walker

$2,708 Vol.

<1%

Kazuma Okamoto

$1,330 Vol.

<1%

Miguel Vargas

$2,920 Vol.

<1%

Jordan Walker

$2,366 Vol.

<1%

Wilson Contreras

$1,767 Vol.

<1%

Ketel Marte

$1,064 Vol.

<1%

Juan Soto

$1,784 Vol.

<1%

Mike Trout

$1,149 Vol.

<1%

Manny Machado

$969 Vol.

<1%

Andy Pages

$1,936 Vol.

<1%

Dansby Swanson

$1,353 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Schwarber

$738 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No MLB player is positioned to reach 50 home runs this season.** Kyle Schwarber leads with 44, followed by Pete Crow-Armstrong at 42, Matt Olson at 39, and a handful of others in the mid-30s as of mid-September. With roughly 15–20 games remaining, even the top sluggers would require an unsustainable surge of 6–8 homers in the final stretch. Recent daily leaderboards show consistent power output across the league but no individual breakout pushing totals near the threshold. Injuries to key bats like Shohei Ohtani (on the IL with 30 homers) and roster limitations further reduce upside. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current market pricing aligns with historical patterns where 50-homer seasons have become increasingly rare in the modern game.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,385
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 11, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.mlb.com
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No MLB player is positioned to reach 50 home runs this season.** Kyle Schwarber leads with 44, followed by Pete Crow-Armstrong at 42, Matt Olson at 39, and a handful of others in the mid-30s as of mid-September. With roughly 15–20 games remaining, even the top sluggers would require an unsustainable surge of 6–8 homers in the final stretch. Recent daily leaderboards show consistent power output across the league but no individual breakout pushing totals near the threshold. Injuries to key bats like Shohei Ohtani (on the IL with 30 homers) and roster limitations further reduce upside. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current market pricing aligns with historical patterns where 50-homer seasons have become increasingly rare in the modern game.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,385
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 11, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.mlb.com

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 30 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Kyle Schwarber" sa 40%, sinusundan ng "Junior Caminero" sa 5%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 40¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 40% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs" ay naka-generate ng $53.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 2, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs," i-browse ang 30 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs" ay "Kyle Schwarber" sa 40%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 40% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Junior Caminero" sa 5%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.