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icon for Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?

Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?

icon for Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?

Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?

43% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
43% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable. The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify. A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Moonshot AI unveiled Kimi K3 on July 16, 2026, confirming via its technical blog and platform docs that the full 2.8T-parameter MoE weights would ship by July 27 alongside a report on architecture and training. The model is already live through the Kimi API with strong multimodal and long-context benchmarks rivaling closed frontier systems, following the precedent of K2’s earlier open release. Traders see the 10-day window and the sheer scale of the checkpoint as key risks for slippage, even as community excitement builds around potential local deployment and inference ecosystem integration. The July 27 deadline itself remains the dominant near-term catalyst.

Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable.

The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify.

A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 17, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable. The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify. A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable. The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify. A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Moonshot AI unveiled Kimi K3 on July 16, 2026, confirming via its technical blog and platform docs that the full 2.8T-parameter MoE weights would ship by July 27 alongside a report on architecture and training. The model is already live through the Kimi API with strong multimodal and long-context benchmarks rivaling closed frontier systems, following the precedent of K2’s earlier open release. Traders see the 10-day window and the sheer scale of the checkpoint as key risks for slippage, even as community excitement builds around potential local deployment and inference ecosystem integration. The July 27 deadline itself remains the dominant near-term catalyst.

Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable.

The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify.

A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 17, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable. The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify. A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 44% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 44¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 44% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jul 17, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?" ay 44% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 44% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.