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icon for Susunod na aktor ng James Bond?

Susunod na aktor ng James Bond?

icon for Susunod na aktor ng James Bond?

Susunod na aktor ng James Bond?

Walang napiling Bond 75%

Callum Turner 8.6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 5.3%

Jacob Elordi 2.9%

Polymarket

$2,179,756 Vol.

Walang napiling Bond 75%

Callum Turner 8.6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 5.3%

Jacob Elordi 2.9%

Polymarket

$2,179,756 Vol.

icon for Walang napiling Bond

Walang napiling Bond

$268,099 Vol.

75%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$143,474 Vol.

9%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$116,851 Vol.

5%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$258,554 Vol.

3%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$315,484 Vol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$40,383 Vol.

1%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$156,791 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$84,446 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$78,706 Vol.

1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$122,032 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$225,495 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$189,852 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$88,451 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$43,761 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$47,376 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amazon MGM Studios confirmed on May 15 that the search for the next James Bond is officially underway, tapping acclaimed casting director Nina Gold for auditions already in motion, driving trader consensus toward "No Bond chosen" at a dominant 74.5% implied probability amid vows to announce only when ready—likely post-2027 pre-production under director Denis Villeneuve. Callum Turner holds frontrunner status among contenders at 8.6%, fueled by bookmaker favoritism (evens odds) and unverified reports he's privately sharing the role with friends, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 5.3% on faded but enduring buzz; Jacob Elordi's 2.9% reflects recent "pole position" whispers. Secretive process and historical casting caution keep uncertainty high, with fresh faces eyed for the reboot.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,179,756
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amazon MGM Studios confirmed on May 15 that the search for the next James Bond is officially underway, tapping acclaimed casting director Nina Gold for auditions already in motion, driving trader consensus toward "No Bond chosen" at a dominant 74.5% implied probability amid vows to announce only when ready—likely post-2027 pre-production under director Denis Villeneuve. Callum Turner holds frontrunner status among contenders at 8.6%, fueled by bookmaker favoritism (evens odds) and unverified reports he's privately sharing the role with friends, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 5.3% on faded but enduring buzz; Jacob Elordi's 2.9% reflects recent "pole position" whispers. Secretive process and historical casting caution keep uncertainty high, with fresh faces eyed for the reboot.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,179,756
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Susunod na aktor ng James Bond?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 15 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Walang napiling Bond" sa 75%, sinusundan ng "Callum Turner" sa 9%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 75¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 75% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Susunod na aktor ng James Bond?" ay naka-generate ng $2.2 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 4, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Susunod na aktor ng James Bond?," i-browse ang 15 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Susunod na aktor ng James Bond?" ay "Walang napiling Bond" sa 75%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 75% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Callum Turner" sa 9%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Susunod na aktor ng James Bond?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.