Early awards chatter for the 2027 Oscars Best Original Screenplay race centers on a wide-open field where traders assign Wild Horse Nine the highest implied probability at 22.5 percent, followed by Fjord at 8 percent and Digger at 7.5 percent, with dozens of other titles clustered around 50 percent or lower. Martin McDonagh’s Venice-bound black comedy has generated early momentum through its high-profile cast, trailer reception, and the writer-director’s proven awards track record, while festival-bound entries like Fjord and Obsession benefit from critical interest and guild-adjacent buzz. The broad distribution of probabilities reflects an unusually deep crop of original scripts still awaiting full screenings, with late-2026 premieres and precursor awards poised to reorder the market before nominations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 16%
Fjord 9%
Digger 9%
Obsession 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Mar 14, 2027
Wild Horse Nine
16%
Fjord
9%
Digger
9%
Obsession
7%
The Drama
6%
Josephine
6%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
5%
The Invite
5%
A Place in Hell
4%
The Odyssey
3%
Club Kid
3%
The Debut
3%
Elsinore
3%
Fatherland
2%
Forgotten Island
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
2%
The Black Ball
2%
Wild Horse Nine 16%
Fjord 9%
Digger 9%
Obsession 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Mar 14, 2027
Wild Horse Nine
$1,964 Vol.
16%
Fjord
$43 Vol.
9%
Digger
$259 Vol.
9%
Obsession
$56 Vol.
7%
The Drama
$36 Vol.
6%
Josephine
$56 Vol.
6%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$56 Vol.
5%
The Invite
$36 Vol.
5%
A Place in Hell
$56 Vol.
4%
The Odyssey
$56 Vol.
3%
Club Kid
$39 Vol.
3%
The Debut
$44 Vol.
3%
Elsinore
$36 Vol.
3%
Fatherland
$36 Vol.
2%
Forgotten Island
$36 Vol.
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$44 Vol.
2%
The Black Ball
$36 Vol.
2%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early awards chatter for the 2027 Oscars Best Original Screenplay race centers on a wide-open field where traders assign Wild Horse Nine the highest implied probability at 22.5 percent, followed by Fjord at 8 percent and Digger at 7.5 percent, with dozens of other titles clustered around 50 percent or lower. Martin McDonagh’s Venice-bound black comedy has generated early momentum through its high-profile cast, trailer reception, and the writer-director’s proven awards track record, while festival-bound entries like Fjord and Obsession benefit from critical interest and guild-adjacent buzz. The broad distribution of probabilities reflects an unusually deep crop of original scripts still awaiting full screenings, with late-2026 premieres and precursor awards poised to reorder the market before nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$2,884Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 14, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early awards chatter for the 2027 Oscars Best Original Screenplay race centers on a wide-open field where traders assign Wild Horse Nine the highest implied probability at 22.5 percent, followed by Fjord at 8 percent and Digger at 7.5 percent, with dozens of other titles clustered around 50 percent or lower. Martin McDonagh’s Venice-bound black comedy has generated early momentum through its high-profile cast, trailer reception, and the writer-director’s proven awards track record, while festival-bound entries like Fjord and Obsession benefit from critical interest and guild-adjacent buzz. The broad distribution of probabilities reflects an unusually deep crop of original scripts still awaiting full screenings, with late-2026 premieres and precursor awards poised to reorder the market before nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,884Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 14, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early awards chatter for the 2027 Oscars Best Original Screenplay race centers on a wide-open field where traders assign Wild Horse Nine the highest implied probability at 22.5 percent, followed by Fjord at 8 percent and Digger at 7.5 percent, with dozens of other titles clustered around 50 percent or lower. Martin McDonagh’s Venice-bound black comedy has generated early momentum through its high-profile cast, trailer reception, and the writer-director’s proven awards track record, while festival-bound entries like Fjord and Obsession benefit from critical interest and guild-adjacent buzz. The broad distribution of probabilities reflects an unusually deep crop of original scripts still awaiting full screenings, with late-2026 premieres and precursor awards poised to reorder the market before nominations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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