**Recent US sanctions intensification, a naval blockade, and sharply reduced Iranian oil exports have driven the free-market USD/IRR rate to record levels near 2.2 million rials as of early September 2026.** These measures, combined with secondary sanctions targeting evasion networks and ongoing regional tensions, have curtailed foreign-currency inflows while feeding high inflation that further pressures the rial. Trader sentiment remains split because any diplomatic easing, Central Bank interventions, or shifts in global oil demand could stabilize or reverse the depreciation, while further escalation or sustained export shortfalls could push rates higher. The close probabilities across the 2.0–3.0 million bands reflect this balance of persistent economic pressure against potential policy or geopolitical offsets before year-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update2.5 - 3.0M 30%
<2.0M 29%
2.0 - 2.5M 26%
3.0 - 3.5M 14%
<2.0M
29%
2.0 - 2.5M
26%
2.5 - 3.0M
30%
3.0 - 3.5M
14%
3.5 - 4.0M
10%
4.0M+
7%
2.5 - 3.0M 30%
<2.0M 29%
2.0 - 2.5M 26%
3.0 - 3.5M 14%
<2.0M
29%
2.0 - 2.5M
26%
2.5 - 3.0M
30%
3.0 - 3.5M
14%
3.5 - 4.0M
10%
4.0M+
7%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent US sanctions intensification, a naval blockade, and sharply reduced Iranian oil exports have driven the free-market USD/IRR rate to record levels near 2.2 million rials as of early September 2026.** These measures, combined with secondary sanctions targeting evasion networks and ongoing regional tensions, have curtailed foreign-currency inflows while feeding high inflation that further pressures the rial. Trader sentiment remains split because any diplomatic easing, Central Bank interventions, or shifts in global oil demand could stabilize or reverse the depreciation, while further escalation or sustained export shortfalls could push rates higher. The close probabilities across the 2.0–3.0 million bands reflect this balance of persistent economic pressure against potential policy or geopolitical offsets before year-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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