Venezuela's political landscape continues to reflect the aftermath of the January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro, leaving Delcy Rodríguez as acting president while state institutions and a Supreme Tribunal ruling maintain Maduro's status as the constitutional head of state. This arrangement, combined with the absence of scheduled presidential elections or a full transition roadmap as of mid-2026, underpins trader consensus around institutional continuity through year-end. Recent steps like the amnesty bill, partial release of political prisoners, oil sector reforms opening opportunities for private investment, and reestablished U.S. diplomatic ties have stabilized the current power structure without shifting control to opposition figures such as María Corina Machado. Key factors sustaining these probabilities include the retention of core regime elements in security and governance roles alongside ongoing negotiations over sanctions relief and economic recovery.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAng pinuno ng Venezuela ay nagtatapos sa 2026?
Nicolás Maduro 64.1%
Delcy Rodríguez 21%
María Corina Machado 7%
Jorge Rodríguez 1.1%
$88,272,702 Vol.
$88,272,702 Vol.
Nicolás Maduro
64%
Delcy Rodríguez
21%
María Corina Machado
7%
Jorge Rodríguez
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Walang Pinuno ng Estado
1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 64.1%
Delcy Rodríguez 21%
María Corina Machado 7%
Jorge Rodríguez 1.1%
$88,272,702 Vol.
$88,272,702 Vol.
Nicolás Maduro
64%
Delcy Rodríguez
21%
María Corina Machado
7%
Jorge Rodríguez
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Walang Pinuno ng Estado
1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuela's political landscape continues to reflect the aftermath of the January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro, leaving Delcy Rodríguez as acting president while state institutions and a Supreme Tribunal ruling maintain Maduro's status as the constitutional head of state. This arrangement, combined with the absence of scheduled presidential elections or a full transition roadmap as of mid-2026, underpins trader consensus around institutional continuity through year-end. Recent steps like the amnesty bill, partial release of political prisoners, oil sector reforms opening opportunities for private investment, and reestablished U.S. diplomatic ties have stabilized the current power structure without shifting control to opposition figures such as María Corina Machado. Key factors sustaining these probabilities include the retention of core regime elements in security and governance roles alongside ongoing negotiations over sanctions relief and economic recovery.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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