Recent primary results and low early voting participation ahead of the August 11 contest underscore subdued engagement heading into the November 3 general election between incumbent Republican Phil Scott and Democrat Amanda Janoo. Vermont’s off-year gubernatorial cycle typically draws lower turnout than presidential years, with historical general election totals ranging from roughly 290,000 to 370,000 votes amid same-day registration, no-excuse absentee, and early voting options. Trader probabilities remain tightly clustered across turnout bins because campaign mobilization intensity, independent and suburban voter participation, and weather on Election Day remain uncertain variables that could shift final participation levels without a clear frontrunner in any single range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update325K-350K 44%
225K-250K 43%
250K-275K 43%
<225K 43%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
<225K
43%
225K-250K
43%
250K-275K
43%
275K-300K
42%
300K-325K
42%
325K-350K
44%
350K+
42%
325K-350K 44%
225K-250K 43%
250K-275K 43%
<225K 43%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
<225K
$0 Vol.
43%
225K-250K
$0 Vol.
43%
250K-275K
$0 Vol.
43%
275K-300K
$0 Vol.
42%
300K-325K
$0 Vol.
42%
325K-350K
$0 Vol.
44%
350K+
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent primary results and low early voting participation ahead of the August 11 contest underscore subdued engagement heading into the November 3 general election between incumbent Republican Phil Scott and Democrat Amanda Janoo. Vermont’s off-year gubernatorial cycle typically draws lower turnout than presidential years, with historical general election totals ranging from roughly 290,000 to 370,000 votes amid same-day registration, no-excuse absentee, and early voting options. Trader probabilities remain tightly clustered across turnout bins because campaign mobilization intensity, independent and suburban voter participation, and weather on Election Day remain uncertain variables that could shift final participation levels without a clear frontrunner in any single range.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent primary results and low early voting participation ahead of the August 11 contest underscore subdued engagement heading into the November 3 general election between incumbent Republican Phil Scott and Democrat Amanda Janoo. Vermont’s off-year gubernatorial cycle typically draws lower turnout than presidential years, with historical general election totals ranging from roughly 290,000 to 370,000 votes amid same-day registration, no-excuse absentee, and early voting options. Trader probabilities remain tightly clustered across turnout bins because campaign mobilization intensity, independent and suburban voter participation, and weather on Election Day remain uncertain variables that could shift final participation levels without a clear frontrunner in any single range.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent primary results and low early voting participation ahead of the August 11 contest underscore subdued engagement heading into the November 3 general election between incumbent Republican Phil Scott and Democrat Amanda Janoo. Vermont’s off-year gubernatorial cycle typically draws lower turnout than presidential years, with historical general election totals ranging from roughly 290,000 to 370,000 votes amid same-day registration, no-excuse absentee, and early voting options. Trader probabilities remain tightly clustered across turnout bins because campaign mobilization intensity, independent and suburban voter participation, and weather on Election Day remain uncertain variables that could shift final participation levels without a clear frontrunner in any single range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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