Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's dominant position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race stems from his strong statewide name recognition, consistent polling leads of 11-15 points over Democrat Amanda Janoo, and a history of broad voter support in a state that has repeatedly backed Republican governors. Scott advanced easily through the August 11 Republican primary, while Janoo's narrow Democratic primary win followed limited name recognition for both major challengers. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these fundamentals and low volatility in recent surveys. Potential shifts could arise from major economic downturns, unexpected scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the final weeks before November 3, though no such developments have materialized in the past month.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$44,783 Vol.
$44,783 Vol.

Republican
91%

Democrat
8%
$44,783 Vol.
$44,783 Vol.

Republican
91%

Democrat
8%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's dominant position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race stems from his strong statewide name recognition, consistent polling leads of 11-15 points over Democrat Amanda Janoo, and a history of broad voter support in a state that has repeatedly backed Republican governors. Scott advanced easily through the August 11 Republican primary, while Janoo's narrow Democratic primary win followed limited name recognition for both major challengers. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these fundamentals and low volatility in recent surveys. Potential shifts could arise from major economic downturns, unexpected scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the final weeks before November 3, though no such developments have materialized in the past month.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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