Walmart’s consistent U.S. eCommerce growth near 26% in recent quarters, including the prior fiscal Q2 and the latest reported period, anchors the 76.5% market-implied probability on the 25%-29% bucket for the upcoming Q2 results. Strength in store-fulfilled delivery (up nearly 50% in prior periods), advertising revenue expansion, and marketplace momentum continue to outpace overall sales growth of roughly 4-5%, supporting mid-20s expansion amid steady Walmart+ adoption and improved delivery economics. The 15% probability on sub-25% growth reflects residual uncertainty around consumer spending patterns, while lower odds on higher bands capture limited historical upside surprises. Traders are positioning ahead of the August 20 earnings release, where any deviation from the established trend could shift implied odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWalmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth __?
25%-29% 77%
<25% 15%
29%-33% 11%
37%+ 3.7%
<25%
15%
25%-29%
77%
29%-33%
11%
33%-37%
2%
37%+
4%
25%-29% 77%
<25% 15%
29%-33% 11%
37%+ 3.7%
<25%
15%
25%-29%
77%
29%-33%
11%
33%-37%
2%
37%+
4%
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Walmart’s consistent U.S. eCommerce growth near 26% in recent quarters, including the prior fiscal Q2 and the latest reported period, anchors the 76.5% market-implied probability on the 25%-29% bucket for the upcoming Q2 results. Strength in store-fulfilled delivery (up nearly 50% in prior periods), advertising revenue expansion, and marketplace momentum continue to outpace overall sales growth of roughly 4-5%, supporting mid-20s expansion amid steady Walmart+ adoption and improved delivery economics. The 15% probability on sub-25% growth reflects residual uncertainty around consumer spending patterns, while lower odds on higher bands capture limited historical upside surprises. Traders are positioning ahead of the August 20 earnings release, where any deviation from the established trend could shift implied odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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