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Palakasan·World Cup

Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?

icon for Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?
Palakasan·World Cup

Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?

No Replacement 85.1%

Italy 6.8%

UAE 4.4%

Other <1%

Polymarket

$30,526 Vol.

No Replacement 85.1%

Italy 6.8%

UAE 4.4%

Other <1%

Polymarket

$30,526 Vol.

icon for No Replacement

No Replacement

$8,328 Vol.

85%

icon for Italy

Italy

$15,316 Vol.

7%

icon for UAE

UAE

$2,961 Vol.

4%

icon for Other

Other

$2,280 Vol.

1%

icon for Bolivia

Bolivia

$1,641 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No Replacement" for Iran at an 85.1% implied probability in the FIFA World Cup 2026 market, reflecting FIFA President Gianni Infantino's April confirmation of their participation despite US-Iran tensions and a rejected April proposal by a Trump envoy to install Italy. Iran secured an AFC qualification slot, drawn into Group G alongside Belgium, Egypt, and New Zealand, with fixtures including a June 15 opener versus New Zealand at SoFi Stadium. Recent Iranian FA chief Mehdi Taj's May 15 call for tournament guarantees and potential withdrawal threats have not shifted sentiment, as prior signals fizzled without action. UAE trails at 4.3% as the top AFC non-qualifier, while Italy lingers at 6.3%. Overturning this would demand escalated sanctions, voluntary pullout, or rare FIFA intervention overriding qualification protocols.

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$30,526
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No Replacement" for Iran at an 85.1% implied probability in the FIFA World Cup 2026 market, reflecting FIFA President Gianni Infantino's April confirmation of their participation despite US-Iran tensions and a rejected April proposal by a Trump envoy to install Italy. Iran secured an AFC qualification slot, drawn into Group G alongside Belgium, Egypt, and New Zealand, with fixtures including a June 15 opener versus New Zealand at SoFi Stadium. Recent Iranian FA chief Mehdi Taj's May 15 call for tournament guarantees and potential withdrawal threats have not shifted sentiment, as prior signals fizzled without action. UAE trails at 4.3% as the top AFC non-qualifier, while Italy lingers at 6.3%. Overturning this would demand escalated sanctions, voluntary pullout, or rare FIFA intervention overriding qualification protocols.

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$30,526
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "No Replacement" sa 85%, sinusundan ng "Italy" sa 7%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 85¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 85% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?" ay naka-generate ng $30.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 24, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?" ay "No Replacement" sa 85%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 85% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Italy" sa 7%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.