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Palakasan·World Cup

Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?

icon for Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?
Palakasan·World Cup

Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?

No Replacement 99.8%

Italy <1%

Bolivia <1%

UAE <1%

Polymarket

$98,856 Vol.

No Replacement 99.8%

Italy <1%

Bolivia <1%

UAE <1%

Polymarket

$98,856 Vol.

icon for No Replacement

No Replacement

$41,006 Vol.

100%

icon for Italy

Italy

$40,939 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bolivia

Bolivia

$3,634 Vol.

<1%

icon for UAE

UAE

$6,652 Vol.

<1%

icon for Other

Other

$6,625 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**FIFA has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup**, including direct statements from President Gianni Infantino that the team will compete in its scheduled Group G matches. Iran qualified via AFC playoffs and remains in the official draw, with fixtures listed on FIFA platforms and a 30-man squad selected under head coach Amir Ghalenoei. A proposed Italy replacement, floated by a U.S. envoy in April, drew immediate pushback from FIFA, Italian officials, and the Iranian federation, with no supporting regulatory mechanism or tournament precedent. Recent developments reinforce this positioning. Iran secured FIFA approval to shift its training base from Arizona to Tijuana, Mexico, and has navigated U.S. visa processes for delegation members despite some denials. These logistical adjustments, alongside ongoing preparations ahead of the June 15 opener against New Zealand, align with trader consensus that replacement is improbable. Scenarios that could still shift odds include an unforeseen Iranian withdrawal over political or security concerns or an unprecedented late FIFA intervention, though both appear remote given the proximity to kickoff and repeated affirmations of participation.

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$98,856
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**FIFA has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup**, including direct statements from President Gianni Infantino that the team will compete in its scheduled Group G matches. Iran qualified via AFC playoffs and remains in the official draw, with fixtures listed on FIFA platforms and a 30-man squad selected under head coach Amir Ghalenoei. A proposed Italy replacement, floated by a U.S. envoy in April, drew immediate pushback from FIFA, Italian officials, and the Iranian federation, with no supporting regulatory mechanism or tournament precedent. Recent developments reinforce this positioning. Iran secured FIFA approval to shift its training base from Arizona to Tijuana, Mexico, and has navigated U.S. visa processes for delegation members despite some denials. These logistical adjustments, alongside ongoing preparations ahead of the June 15 opener against New Zealand, align with trader consensus that replacement is improbable. Scenarios that could still shift odds include an unforeseen Iranian withdrawal over political or security concerns or an unprecedented late FIFA intervention, though both appear remote given the proximity to kickoff and repeated affirmations of participation.

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$98,856
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "No Replacement" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Italy" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?" ay naka-generate ng $98.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 24, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?" ay "No Replacement" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Italy" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.