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icon for Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?
Elections·Graham Platner

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?

icon for Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?
Elections·Graham Platner

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?

Troy Jackson 51%

Shenna Bellows 23%

Nirav Shah 14%

Graham Platner 5.3%

Polymarket
BAGO

$51,038 Vol.

Troy Jackson 51%

Shenna Bellows 23%

Nirav Shah 14%

Graham Platner 5.3%

Polymarket
BAGO

$51,038 Vol.

Troy Jackson

$32,744 Vol.

51%

Shenna Bellows

$1,318 Vol.

23%

Nirav Shah

$2,207 Vol.

14%

Graham Platner

$1,624 Vol.

5%

Paige Loud

$0 Vol.

5%

Jordan Wood

$988 Vol.

3%

Janet Mills

$9,958 Vol.

3%

Jared Golden

$961 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Frey

$409 Vol.

<1%

Chellie Pingree

$335 Vol.

<1%

Dan Kleban

$494 Vol.

<1%

If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed. In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.

If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.

This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.

In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$51,038
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 6, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed. In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed. In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.

If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.

This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.

In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$51,038
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 6, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed. In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Troy Jackson" sa 51%, sinusundan ng "Shenna Bellows" sa 23%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 51¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 51% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?" ay naka-generate ng $51K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 6, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?" ay "Troy Jackson" sa 51%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 51% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Shenna Bellows" sa 23%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.