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Palakasan·UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
Palakasan·UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

Ilia Topuria 77%

Justin Gaethje 13.5%

Arman Tsarukyan 8.3%

Max Holloway 1.8%

Polymarket

$24,365 Vol.

Ilia Topuria 77%

Justin Gaethje 13.5%

Arman Tsarukyan 8.3%

Max Holloway 1.8%

Polymarket

$24,365 Vol.

Ilia Topuria

$7,810 Vol.

77%

Arman Tsarukyan

$2,473 Vol.

8%

Charles Oliveira

$1,992 Vol.

1%

Max Holloway

$1,619 Vol.

23%

Justin Gaethje

$2,822 Vol.

13%

Paddy Pimblett

$2,517 Vol.

<1%

Dan Hooker

$937 Vol.

1%

Mateusz Gamrot

$726 Vol.

<1%

Benoît Saint Denis

$1,454 Vol.

2%

Rafael Fiziev

$962 Vol.

<1%

Renato Moicano

$1,054 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria holds the strongest position in the UFC lightweight title picture heading into the remainder of 2026, driven by his undefeated record, first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira to claim the belt at UFC 317, and prior dominance after moving up from featherweight. Trader consensus reflects this through his commanding implied probability, bolstered by recent confirmation of a June unification bout against interim champion Justin Gaethje on the White House card. Gaethje's veteran experience and interim title win over Paddy Pimblett keep him relevant despite age, while Max Holloway benefits from name recognition and past performances against Topuria. Arman Tsarukyan and Benoît Saint Denis sit further back due to limited recent title-contender activity, with the division's depth and potential for late-cycle shifts from injuries or upsets maintaining some fluidity in longer-term probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$24,365
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria holds the strongest position in the UFC lightweight title picture heading into the remainder of 2026, driven by his undefeated record, first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira to claim the belt at UFC 317, and prior dominance after moving up from featherweight. Trader consensus reflects this through his commanding implied probability, bolstered by recent confirmation of a June unification bout against interim champion Justin Gaethje on the White House card. Gaethje's veteran experience and interim title win over Paddy Pimblett keep him relevant despite age, while Max Holloway benefits from name recognition and past performances against Topuria. Arman Tsarukyan and Benoît Saint Denis sit further back due to limited recent title-contender activity, with the division's depth and potential for late-cycle shifts from injuries or upsets maintaining some fluidity in longer-term probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$24,365
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Ilia Topuria" sa 77%, sinusundan ng "Max Holloway" sa 23%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 77¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 77% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay naka-generate ng $24.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 4, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay "Ilia Topuria" sa 77%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 77% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Max Holloway" sa 23%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.