Islam Makhachev holds an overwhelming 81% implied probability as the trader consensus favorite to remain UFC Welterweight champion through the end of 2026, driven by his status as the current titleholder after a dominant unanimous decision victory over Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 322 in November 2025. The pound-for-pound standout has maintained an undefeated streak while preparing for his first 170-pound title defense, with reported options including Ian Machado Garry in August. Carlos Prates at 18.9% benefits from a recent third-round knockout of Della Maddalena at UFC Perth, positioning him as a rising contender alongside Ian Machado Garry at 15.4% and Michael Morales at 6.5%. These probabilities reflect the division's depth but underscore Makhachev's established edge in recent form and matchup history.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateIslam Makhachev 81%
Carlos Prates 19.9%
Ian Machado Garry 18.6%
Michael Morales 6.5%
$40,303 Vol.
$40,303 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
81%
Carlos Prates
19%
Ian Machado Garry
15%
Michael Morales
7%
Joaquin Buckley
1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Islam Makhachev 81%
Carlos Prates 19.9%
Ian Machado Garry 18.6%
Michael Morales 6.5%
$40,303 Vol.
$40,303 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
81%
Carlos Prates
19%
Ian Machado Garry
15%
Michael Morales
7%
Joaquin Buckley
1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev holds an overwhelming 81% implied probability as the trader consensus favorite to remain UFC Welterweight champion through the end of 2026, driven by his status as the current titleholder after a dominant unanimous decision victory over Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 322 in November 2025. The pound-for-pound standout has maintained an undefeated streak while preparing for his first 170-pound title defense, with reported options including Ian Machado Garry in August. Carlos Prates at 18.9% benefits from a recent third-round knockout of Della Maddalena at UFC Perth, positioning him as a rising contender alongside Ian Machado Garry at 15.4% and Michael Morales at 6.5%. These probabilities reflect the division's depth but underscore Makhachev's established edge in recent form and matchup history.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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