Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and persistent inflation have pushed 30-year mortgage rates to approximately 6.45% as of mid-May 2026, reversing earlier declines toward 6.0% in February and March. The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range, amid elevated CPI readings and oil-price shocks, has kept Treasury yields elevated and supported higher mortgage pricing. Market-implied expectations now point to fewer rate cuts this year than previously anticipated, with forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association centering around 6.1%-6.3% by year-end. Upcoming inflation reports, FOMC communications, and any progress on energy-market stability will likely influence whether rates breach key thresholds such as 6% or remain range-bound through the balance of 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWill the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
$49,755 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 7.00%
46%
↑ 6.75%
50%
↑ 6.50%
76%
↓ 5.90%
49%
↓ 5.70%
50%
↓ 5.50%
47%
$49,755 Vol.
↑ 7.00%
$26 Vol.
46%
↑ 6.75%
$118 Vol.
50%
↑ 6.50%
$6,700 Vol.
76%
↓ 5.90%
$6,005 Vol.
49%
↓ 5.70%
$6,769 Vol.
50%
↓ 5.50%
$25 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and persistent inflation have pushed 30-year mortgage rates to approximately 6.45% as of mid-May 2026, reversing earlier declines toward 6.0% in February and March. The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range, amid elevated CPI readings and oil-price shocks, has kept Treasury yields elevated and supported higher mortgage pricing. Market-implied expectations now point to fewer rate cuts this year than previously anticipated, with forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association centering around 6.1%-6.3% by year-end. Upcoming inflation reports, FOMC communications, and any progress on energy-market stability will likely influence whether rates breach key thresholds such as 6% or remain range-bound through the balance of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$49,755Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and persistent inflation have pushed 30-year mortgage rates to approximately 6.45% as of mid-May 2026, reversing earlier declines toward 6.0% in February and March. The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range, amid elevated CPI readings and oil-price shocks, has kept Treasury yields elevated and supported higher mortgage pricing. Market-implied expectations now point to fewer rate cuts this year than previously anticipated, with forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association centering around 6.1%-6.3% by year-end. Upcoming inflation reports, FOMC communications, and any progress on energy-market stability will likely influence whether rates breach key thresholds such as 6% or remain range-bound through the balance of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Volume
$49,755Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and persistent inflation have pushed 30-year mortgage rates to approximately 6.45% as of mid-May 2026, reversing earlier declines toward 6.0% in February and March. The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range, amid elevated CPI readings and oil-price shocks, has kept Treasury yields elevated and supported higher mortgage pricing. Market-implied expectations now point to fewer rate cuts this year than previously anticipated, with forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association centering around 6.1%-6.3% by year-end. Upcoming inflation reports, FOMC communications, and any progress on energy-market stability will likely influence whether rates breach key thresholds such as 6% or remain range-bound through the balance of 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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