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Palakasan·Tournament Futures

World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout

icon for World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout
Palakasan·Tournament Futures

World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout

BAGO
Jul 20, 2026
Polymarket

$68 Vol.

Polymarket

1+ matches

$57 Vol.

96%

2+ matches

$1 Vol.

88%

3+ matches

$0 Vol.

85%

4+ matches

$0 Vol.

50%

5+ matches

$0 Vol.

83%

6+ matches

$10 Vol.

77%

7+ matches

$0 Vol.

70%

8+ matches

$0 Vol.

62%

9+ matches

$0 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 World Cup format, with 48 teams and 32 knockout-stage matches, stands as the dominant driver of expectations for penalty shootouts, as these remain the sole pathway to resolution after 90 minutes plus 30 minutes of extra time. Historically, roughly 20-25% of World Cup knockout fixtures reach penalties, a rate that produced a record five such outcomes in 2022, including the final. The addition of a round of 32 increases total elimination games substantially over prior 32-team editions, directly raising the volume of opportunities without altering group-stage rules that permit draws. No confirmed changes to extra-time protocols or shootout procedures have taken effect, though ancillary pace-of-play adjustments could indirectly influence fatigue and decision-making in later rounds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$68
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 11, 2026, 10:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 World Cup format, with 48 teams and 32 knockout-stage matches, stands as the dominant driver of expectations for penalty shootouts, as these remain the sole pathway to resolution after 90 minutes plus 30 minutes of extra time. Historically, roughly 20-25% of World Cup knockout fixtures reach penalties, a rate that produced a record five such outcomes in 2022, including the final. The addition of a round of 32 increases total elimination games substantially over prior 32-team editions, directly raising the volume of opportunities without altering group-stage rules that permit draws. No confirmed changes to extra-time protocols or shootout procedures have taken effect, though ancillary pace-of-play adjustments could indirectly influence fatigue and decision-making in later rounds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$68
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 11, 2026, 10:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "1+ matches" sa 96%, sinusundan ng "2+ matches" sa 88%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 96¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 96% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jun 11, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout" ay "1+ matches" sa 96%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 96% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "2+ matches" sa 88%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.