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icon for World Cup: Number of VAR Decision Overturns

World Cup: Number of VAR Decision Overturns

icon for World Cup: Number of VAR Decision Overturns

World Cup: Number of VAR Decision Overturns

BAGO
Jul 20, 2026
Polymarket

$119 Vol.

Polymarket

5+ Overturns

$118 Vol.

96%

10+ Overturns

$0 Vol.

96%

15+ Overturns

$1 Vol.

90%

20+ Overturns

$0 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of on-field decisions overturned following a Video Assistant Referee (VAR) review during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A VAR overturn is counted each time an on-field decision is changed as a result of a VAR review. Reviews that confirm the original decision do not count. Decisions that may be reviewed and/or overturned by VAR are as follows: Goal/no goal, Penalty kick/no penalty kick, Red cards (including but not limited to: incorrect second yellow), Mistaken identity regarding a disciplinary action (https://www.theifab.com/laws/latest/video-assistant-referee-var-protocol/#reviewable-decisions-incidents). Only initial calls on the field reviewed by VAR and later overturned during the match will be considered toward the final count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, without the listed total being met, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA and official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting (including Opta data) may also be used.Expanded VAR protocols at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, featuring AI-assisted 3D tracking for quicker offside calls and new review categories such as incorrectly awarded corners, mistaken identity, and clearly erroneous second yellow cards, represent the central driver for trader focus. The expanded 48-team format produces 104 matches—far more than prior editions—creating additional set-piece and disciplinary situations where video interventions can occur. FIFA has deployed a larger officiating contingent, including 20 VAR specialists, alongside preparatory seminars to standardize application and minimize delays. Historical data shows VAR already lifted decision accuracy above 99 percent in recent tournaments, but the broadened remit may elevate overturn volume while anti-time-wasting measures aim to keep reviews concise. These elements together shape expectations around total clear-and-obvious corrections through the group stage and knockout rounds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of on-field decisions overturned following a Video Assistant Referee (VAR) review during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A VAR overturn is counted each time an on-field decision is changed as a result of a VAR review. Reviews that confirm the original decision do not count.

Decisions that may be reviewed and/or overturned by VAR are as follows: Goal/no goal, Penalty kick/no penalty kick, Red cards (including but not limited to: incorrect second yellow), Mistaken identity regarding a disciplinary action (https://www.theifab.com/laws/latest/video-assistant-referee-var-protocol/#reviewable-decisions-incidents). Only initial calls on the field reviewed by VAR and later overturned during the match will be considered toward the final count.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, without the listed total being met, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA and official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting (including Opta data) may also be used.
Volume
$119
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 11, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of on-field decisions overturned following a Video Assistant Referee (VAR) review during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A VAR overturn is counted each time an on-field decision is changed as a result of a VAR review. Reviews that confirm the original decision do not count. Decisions that may be reviewed and/or overturned by VAR are as follows: Goal/no goal, Penalty kick/no penalty kick, Red cards (including but not limited to: incorrect second yellow), Mistaken identity regarding a disciplinary action (https://www.theifab.com/laws/latest/video-assistant-referee-var-protocol/#reviewable-decisions-incidents). Only initial calls on the field reviewed by VAR and later overturned during the match will be considered toward the final count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, without the listed total being met, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA and official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting (including Opta data) may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of on-field decisions overturned following a Video Assistant Referee (VAR) review during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A VAR overturn is counted each time an on-field decision is changed as a result of a VAR review. Reviews that confirm the original decision do not count. Decisions that may be reviewed and/or overturned by VAR are as follows: Goal/no goal, Penalty kick/no penalty kick, Red cards (including but not limited to: incorrect second yellow), Mistaken identity regarding a disciplinary action (https://www.theifab.com/laws/latest/video-assistant-referee-var-protocol/#reviewable-decisions-incidents). Only initial calls on the field reviewed by VAR and later overturned during the match will be considered toward the final count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, without the listed total being met, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA and official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting (including Opta data) may also be used.Expanded VAR protocols at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, featuring AI-assisted 3D tracking for quicker offside calls and new review categories such as incorrectly awarded corners, mistaken identity, and clearly erroneous second yellow cards, represent the central driver for trader focus. The expanded 48-team format produces 104 matches—far more than prior editions—creating additional set-piece and disciplinary situations where video interventions can occur. FIFA has deployed a larger officiating contingent, including 20 VAR specialists, alongside preparatory seminars to standardize application and minimize delays. Historical data shows VAR already lifted decision accuracy above 99 percent in recent tournaments, but the broadened remit may elevate overturn volume while anti-time-wasting measures aim to keep reviews concise. These elements together shape expectations around total clear-and-obvious corrections through the group stage and knockout rounds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of on-field decisions overturned following a Video Assistant Referee (VAR) review during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A VAR overturn is counted each time an on-field decision is changed as a result of a VAR review. Reviews that confirm the original decision do not count.

Decisions that may be reviewed and/or overturned by VAR are as follows: Goal/no goal, Penalty kick/no penalty kick, Red cards (including but not limited to: incorrect second yellow), Mistaken identity regarding a disciplinary action (https://www.theifab.com/laws/latest/video-assistant-referee-var-protocol/#reviewable-decisions-incidents). Only initial calls on the field reviewed by VAR and later overturned during the match will be considered toward the final count.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, without the listed total being met, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA and official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting (including Opta data) may also be used.
Volume
$119
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 11, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of on-field decisions overturned following a Video Assistant Referee (VAR) review during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A VAR overturn is counted each time an on-field decision is changed as a result of a VAR review. Reviews that confirm the original decision do not count. Decisions that may be reviewed and/or overturned by VAR are as follows: Goal/no goal, Penalty kick/no penalty kick, Red cards (including but not limited to: incorrect second yellow), Mistaken identity regarding a disciplinary action (https://www.theifab.com/laws/latest/video-assistant-referee-var-protocol/#reviewable-decisions-incidents). Only initial calls on the field reviewed by VAR and later overturned during the match will be considered toward the final count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, without the listed total being met, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA and official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting (including Opta data) may also be used.

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Ang "World Cup: Number of VAR Decision Overturns" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "5+ Overturns" sa 96%, sinusundan ng "10+ Overturns" sa 96%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 96¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 96% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "World Cup: Number of VAR Decision Overturns" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jun 11, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "World Cup: Number of VAR Decision Overturns," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "World Cup: Number of VAR Decision Overturns" ay "5+ Overturns" sa 96%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 96% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "10+ Overturns" sa 96%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "World Cup: Number of VAR Decision Overturns" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.