Skip to main content
icon for WSOP Main Event Winner

WSOP Main Event Winner

icon for WSOP Main Event Winner

WSOP Main Event Winner

Mario Boos 45%

Lauri Saaskilahti 45%

Lucas Jumalon 37%

Rami Hammoud 18%

Polymarket
BAGO

Mario Boos 45%

Lauri Saaskilahti 45%

Lucas Jumalon 37%

Rami Hammoud 18%

Polymarket
BAGO

Lucas Jumalon

$0 Vol.

37%

Rami Hammoud

$0 Vol.

18%

Jamie Shaevel

$0 Vol.

7%

Greg Mueller

$21 Vol.

13%

Michael Gagliano

$0 Vol.

11%

Mario Boos

$0 Vol.

45%

Lauri Saaskilahti

$0 Vol.

45%

Han Feng

$0 Vol.

15%

Evagoras Evagorou

$0 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lucas Jumalon holds a commanding chip lead of 194 million heading into the 2026 WSOP Main Event final table, more than double his nearest rival, which underpins the slight 52.5% trader consensus edge reflected in current pricing. Rami Hammoud, Jamie Shaevel, Greg Mueller, and Michael Gagliano follow with stacks between 46-79 million, creating a competitive dynamic among the top contenders where skill edges, table position, and post-flop play can rapidly shift momentum. Smaller stacks like Mario Boos and Lauri Saaskilahti sit in the 22.5% range, while Han Feng and Evagoras Evagorou trail further behind at 7.5% and 5.5%. High variance in no-limit hold'em, combined with weeks until resumption, keeps implied probabilities closely bunched despite the chip disparity.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada.

If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 14, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lucas Jumalon holds a commanding chip lead of 194 million heading into the 2026 WSOP Main Event final table, more than double his nearest rival, which underpins the slight 52.5% trader consensus edge reflected in current pricing. Rami Hammoud, Jamie Shaevel, Greg Mueller, and Michael Gagliano follow with stacks between 46-79 million, creating a competitive dynamic among the top contenders where skill edges, table position, and post-flop play can rapidly shift momentum. Smaller stacks like Mario Boos and Lauri Saaskilahti sit in the 22.5% range, while Han Feng and Evagoras Evagorou trail further behind at 7.5% and 5.5%. High variance in no-limit hold'em, combined with weeks until resumption, keeps implied probabilities closely bunched despite the chip disparity.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada.

If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 14, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "WSOP Main Event Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Lucas Jumalon" sa 37%, sinusundan ng "Mario Boos" sa 23%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 37¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 37% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "WSOP Main Event Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jul 14, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "WSOP Main Event Winner," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "WSOP Main Event Winner" ay "Lucas Jumalon" sa 37%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 37% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Mario Boos" sa 23%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "WSOP Main Event Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.