The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby market shows tightly bunched implied probabilities near 50% for several young power hitters, underscoring the competitive depth and format-driven uncertainty in who posts the highest single-round total. Jordan Walker, Ben Rice, Junior Caminero, and Jac Caglianone sit at the top of trader consensus due to their raw power profiles, recent swing mechanics, and high exit velocities that translate well to the Derby's pitch-tracking setup. Bryce Harper and Willson Contreras trade at lower levels around 25%, reflecting age, rest considerations, or historical Derby variance. With no dominant favorite and outcomes hinging on swing count, pitch location, and short-term streaks rather than season-long stats, the wisdom of crowds prices this as a wide-open contest where small edges in bat speed or stamina can shift results.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJordan Walker 50%
Willson Contreras 1%
Jac Caglianone 1%
Bryce Harper 1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 13, 2026
Jordan Walker
50%
Willson Contreras
46%
Jac Caglianone
49%
Bryce Harper
24%
Kyle Schwarber
50%
Ben Rice
49%
Junior Caminero
-
Jordan Walker 50%
Willson Contreras 1%
Jac Caglianone 1%
Bryce Harper 1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 13, 2026
Jordan Walker
$41 Обс.
50%
Willson Contreras
$22 Обс.
46%
Jac Caglianone
$22 Обс.
49%
Bryce Harper
$22 Обс.
24%
Kyle Schwarber
$22 Обс.
50%
Ben Rice
$22 Обс.
49%
Junior Caminero
$43 Обс.
-
This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby.
If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby market shows tightly bunched implied probabilities near 50% for several young power hitters, underscoring the competitive depth and format-driven uncertainty in who posts the highest single-round total. Jordan Walker, Ben Rice, Junior Caminero, and Jac Caglianone sit at the top of trader consensus due to their raw power profiles, recent swing mechanics, and high exit velocities that translate well to the Derby's pitch-tracking setup. Bryce Harper and Willson Contreras trade at lower levels around 25%, reflecting age, rest considerations, or historical Derby variance. With no dominant favorite and outcomes hinging on swing count, pitch location, and short-term streaks rather than season-long stats, the wisdom of crowds prices this as a wide-open contest where small edges in bat speed or stamina can shift results.
This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby.
If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 10, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Обсяг
$195Дата завершення
Jul 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 10, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby.
If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby market shows tightly bunched implied probabilities near 50% for several young power hitters, underscoring the competitive depth and format-driven uncertainty in who posts the highest single-round total. Jordan Walker, Ben Rice, Junior Caminero, and Jac Caglianone sit at the top of trader consensus due to their raw power profiles, recent swing mechanics, and high exit velocities that translate well to the Derby's pitch-tracking setup. Bryce Harper and Willson Contreras trade at lower levels around 25%, reflecting age, rest considerations, or historical Derby variance. With no dominant favorite and outcomes hinging on swing count, pitch location, and short-term streaks rather than season-long stats, the wisdom of crowds prices this as a wide-open contest where small edges in bat speed or stamina can shift results.
This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby.
If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$195Дата завершення
Jul 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 10, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby market shows tightly bunched implied probabilities near 50% for several young power hitters, underscoring the competitive depth and format-driven uncertainty in who posts the highest single-round total. Jordan Walker, Ben Rice, Junior Caminero, and Jac Caglianone sit at the top of trader consensus due to their raw power profiles, recent swing mechanics, and high exit velocities that translate well to the Derby's pitch-tracking setup. Bryce Harper and Willson Contreras trade at lower levels around 25%, reflecting age, rest considerations, or historical Derby variance. With no dominant favorite and outcomes hinging on swing count, pitch location, and short-term streaks rather than season-long stats, the wisdom of crowds prices this as a wide-open contest where small edges in bat speed or stamina can shift results.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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