**Willson Contreras and Ben Rice lead trader consensus at 73% implied probability each, driven by their standout 2026 power production and recent All-Star nods.** Contreras has posted a .287/.381/.545 slash line with 20 home runs for the Red Sox through early July, while Rice has belted 26 homers for the Yankees amid elite batted-ball metrics. Field announcements over the past week, including Junior Caminero, Jac Caglianone, Jordan Walker, and hometown Phillies star Bryce Harper at Citizens Bank Park, have introduced depth that keeps the market competitive. Caminero’s prior Derby experience and Walker’s breakout add realistic upset paths, resulting in bunched probabilities around the 49-50% range for several entrants and reflecting the format’s volatility across three rounds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJordan Walker 73.3%
Willson Contreras 50.0%
Jac Caglianone 1%
Ben Rice 0
Jordan Walker
73%
Willson Contreras
50%
Jac Caglianone
1%
Ben Rice
-
Junior Caminero
-
Bryce Harper
-
Kyle Schwarber
-
Jordan Walker 73.3%
Willson Contreras 50.0%
Jac Caglianone 1%
Ben Rice 0
Jordan Walker
73%
Willson Contreras
50%
Jac Caglianone
1%
Ben Rice
-
Junior Caminero
-
Bryce Harper
-
Kyle Schwarber
-
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 10, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Willson Contreras and Ben Rice lead trader consensus at 73% implied probability each, driven by their standout 2026 power production and recent All-Star nods.** Contreras has posted a .287/.381/.545 slash line with 20 home runs for the Red Sox through early July, while Rice has belted 26 homers for the Yankees amid elite batted-ball metrics. Field announcements over the past week, including Junior Caminero, Jac Caglianone, Jordan Walker, and hometown Phillies star Bryce Harper at Citizens Bank Park, have introduced depth that keeps the market competitive. Caminero’s prior Derby experience and Walker’s breakout add realistic upset paths, resulting in bunched probabilities around the 49-50% range for several entrants and reflecting the format’s volatility across three rounds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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